Drivers and sensitivities
01 / DRIVERS- Electrification and grid build-out raising metal intensity
- Declining ore grades in mature districts
- Infrastructure programmes in emerging markets
- Consolidation among producers
- Global industrial and construction demand, especially China
- Metal prices and US dollar strength
- Energy and input costs
- Interest rates for long-lead capital projects
Editorial summary. Qualitative drivers are general industry context written by Invest Global, last reviewed 2026-10-08. They are not forecasts. Figures elsewhere on this page are sourced and dated.
Key risks
02 / RISKS- Resource nationalism, royalty increases and licence cancellation
- Community, environmental and safety incidents
- Power and water availability
- Logistics bottlenecks to export ports
- Commodity price volatility
Investing in frontier and emerging markets carries significant risk, including total loss. This list is illustrative and not exhaustive.
Value chain
03 / STAGES- Exploration and permitting
- Mine development and construction
- Extraction and beneficiation
- Smelting and refining
- Logistics and offtake
Top exposed countries
04 / 197 SCOREDRanked by exposure score, a weighted percentile of sourced indicators. Select Sources on any row to see each input, its period, source and as-of date.
| # | Country | Score | Band | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 98 | High | Mineral rents are 28.8% of GDP; ores and metals are 76.5% of merchandise exports (2021, 2024). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 02 | 97 | High | Ores and metals are 58.6% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 16.2% of GDP (2021, 2025). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 03 | 96 | High | Ores and metals are 47.8% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 12.1% of GDP (2021, 2024). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 04 | 96 | High | Mineral rents are 28.2% of GDP; ores and metals are 73.0% of merchandise exports (2021, 2024). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 05 | 95 | High | Mineral rents are 10.5% of GDP; ores and metals are 34.6% of merchandise exports (2021, 2025). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 06 | 94 | High | Mineral rents are 16.8% of GDP; ores and metals are 37.8% of merchandise exports (2015, 2021). | |
| 07 | 93 | High | Ores and metals are 46.6% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 5.9% of GDP (2021, 2025). | |
| 08 | 92 | High | Ores and metals are 52.8% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 7.1% of GDP (2021, 2023). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 09 | 91 | High | Ores and metals are 33.8% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 4.2% of GDP (2021, 2024). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 10 | 90 | High | Ores and metals are 30.4% of merchandise exports; mineral rents are 3.8% of GDP (2021, 2025). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 11 | 89 | High | Mineral rents are 9.1% of GDP; ores and metals are 15.8% of merchandise exports (2021, 2025). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): | |
| 12 | 87 | High | Mineral rents are 6.8% of GDP; ores and metals are 18.3% of merchandise exports (2021, 2025). Economy-wide FDI restrictiveness (OECD, 0 open to 1 closed): |
Exposure scores describe how large and relevant a sector is in a country's economy and opportunity set relative to other countries. They are not a measure of attractiveness, expected return or risk. Educational content only, not investment advice.
Largest markets by scale
05 / 90 RANKEDExposure scores show relative weight. This ranking shows absolute size on one sourced measure: mineral rents. World Bank mineral rents (percent of GDP) times GDP of the same year.
| # | Country | Mineral rents | Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 2021 | ||
| 02 | 2021 | ||
| 03 | 2021 | ||
| 04 | 2021 | ||
| 05 | 2021 | ||
| 06 | 2021 | ||
| 07 | 2021 | ||
| 08 | 2021 | ||
| 09 | 2021 | ||
| 10 | 2021 | ||
| 11 | 2021 | ||
| 12 | 2021 |
Derived from the cited sources as described above. A larger economy ranks higher on absolute measures even when the sector is a smaller share of its output.
Top listed companies
06 / PLAYERSLargest listed companies tagged to this sector in the Invest Global capital markets dataset, ranked by market capitalisation in US dollars. Coverage is the markets in that dataset, so it is not a global census.
| # | Company | Country | Market cap | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | BHP Group BHP | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 02 | Rio Tinto RIO | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 03 | Grupo México GMEXICOB | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 04 | Agnico Eagle Mines AEM | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 05 | Ma'aden 1211 | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 06 | Vale VALE3 | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 07 | ArcelorMittal MTL | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 08 | AngloGold Ashanti ANG | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 09 | Zijin Gold International Company Limited 2259 | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 10 | Gold Fields GFI | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 11 | Fresnillo FRES | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 12 | Bayan Resources BYAN | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 13 | Nornickel GMKN | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 14 | Industrias Peñoles PE&OLES | Invest Global sector tag | ||
| 15 | PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN | Invest Global sector tag |
Not recommendations. A list of the largest companies is not a list of suggested investments. Sector tags marked Invest Global are an editorial classification of each company's main business. Market capitalisation is a snapshot, not a live quote.
Regulatory considerations
07 / REGULATION- Mining codes set royalties, state free-carry stakes and licence terms
- Stability agreements and arbitration clauses vary
- Export restrictions or local processing mandates are increasingly common
- Environmental and closure bonding requirements
The OECD FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index scores 105 economies from 0 (open) to 1 (closed). The median is , with a range of 0.00 to 0.74. The table above notes the score under each top market where it is covered. Sector-specific restrictions vary and are set out in the OECD regulatory database.
Regulatory summaries are general and change often. Confirm current rules with local counsel. Not legal advice.
Typical entry routes
08 / ACCESS- Listed miners on home and international exchanges
- Metals and mining sector funds
- Royalty and streaming arrangements, typically institutional
- Project equity and offtake finance for qualified investors
- State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETFSPDR SERIES TRUST
- iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETFiShares, Inc.
- Global X Copper Miners ETFGlobal X Funds
- VanEck Gold Miners ETFVanEck ETF Trust
Examples, not recommendations. Each fund is confirmed in the SEC series and class file. These are US-listed funds whose holdings are mostly developed-market issuers; check each prospectus for current holdings, fees and domicile. No prices, yields or fees are shown because none are verified here.
Sourced charts
09 / DATA| Benchmark | Latest price | Month |
|---|---|---|
| Copper | 2026-09 | |
| Aluminum | 2026-09 | |
| Nickel | 2026-09 | |
| Zinc | 2026-09 | |
| Tin | 2026-09 | |
| Lead | 2026-09 | |
| Iron ore, CFR spot | 2026-09 | |
| Gold | 2026-09 | |
| Silver | 2026-09 | |
| Platinum | 2026-09 |
Charts show historical data from the cited sources. Past levels do not indicate future results. Commodity series are World Bank nominal US dollar monthly benchmarks.
Method and sources
10 / FORMULAEach score is a weighted average of percentile ranks. For every indicator, a country's latest observation (not older than 2014) is ranked against all other countries with data (mid-rank percentile, 0 to 1). Where a lower raw value signals more headroom (for example electricity access), the rank is inverted. The weighted average of the available percentiles is scaled to 0 to 100. A cell is published only if indicators holding at least 60 percent of the weight are available; otherwise the country is omitted for that sector.
| Indicator | Weight | Direction | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral rents | 40% | Scale (higher raw value scores higher) | World Bank, World Development Indicators |
| Ores and metals exports | 40% | Scale (higher raw value scores higher) | World Bank, World Development Indicators |
| Tracked minerals where the country produces 2 percent or more of world output | 20% | Scale (higher raw value scores higher) | U.S. Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026 |
The score describes how large and relevant a sector is in a country's economy and opportunity set, relative to other countries. It is not a measure of attractiveness, return or risk, and it is not investment advice.
- World Bank, World Development Indicators CC BY 4.0
- U.S. SEC, Investment Company Series and Class Information U.S. Government work, public domain
- companiesmarketcap.com (via the Invest Global capital markets dataset) Third-party data carried over from the existing Invest Global capital markets dataset; reuse licence to be confirmed
- OECD FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index CC BY 4.0 (OECD content published from 1 July 2024)
- World Bank, Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet) CC BY 4.0
Data version 2026-10-09. Every datapoint carries its source and as-of date; hover or tap a dotted value to see them.