SOUTH AMERICA · BOND MARKET · ALL COUNTRIES

Venezuela bond market

Venezuela ranks 185 of 187 on sovereign debt pressure, lowest first. Too few indicators are sourced to rank local market depth.

Government debt, % of GDP
Inflation
Debt pressure
85 Higher

Bond screens

85
Debt pressure HigherRanks 185 of 187, lowest first

Market depth is not scored: too few indicators are sourced.

Venezuela
Bonds

Reading the numbers

01 / OVERVIEW
General government gross debt
pct of GDP, 2025
Consumer price inflation
annual, 2016
Real GDP growth
annual, 2025
Reserves
months of imports, 2016
Current account balance
pct of GDP, 2025
Adults with an account
pct of adults, 2024
Rule of law
WGI estimate, 2025
Government effectiveness
WGI estimate, 2025
Government debt, US dollars
derived, 2025

Plain language, not a view. Each sentence above is generated from the sourced figure beside it and compares it with the median across markets. It describes where a country stands, not where it is going.

Government debt

02 / DEBT

General government gross debt, percent of GDP

annual
336.5%0% 20112025
Source: · as of 2026-10-08
View data table
YearValue
2025308.7%
2024169.1%
2023138.5%
2022164.4%
2021254.2%
2020336.5%
2019206%
2018175.3%

Debt as a share of GDP shows the size of the stock against the economy. It does not show who holds it, in which currency it is owed, or when it falls due. Those details sit in the debt office reports of the government and in IMF country documents, and decide most of the risk to a bondholder.

Inflation and currency

03 / CARRY

Consumer price inflation, annual percent

annual
255%0% 20092016
Source: · as of 2026-10-08
View data table
YearValue
2016255%
2015121.7%
201462.2%
201340.6%
201221.1%
201126.1%
201028.2%
200927.1%

Official exchange rate, local currency units per US dollar

annual
9.980 20032017
Source: · as of 2026-10-08
View data table
YearValue
20179.98
20169.26
20156.28
20146.28
20136.05
20124.29
20114.29
20102.58

A local currency bond pays a coupon in local money. For a foreign holder the return is that coupon, plus or minus the price change of the bond, plus or minus the change in the exchange rate. Inflation and depreciation tend to move together.

Sovereign debt pressure

04 / SCREEN

A weighted percentile screen of seven sourced indicators. Higher means more pressure on the government's ability to service local and foreign debt at current settings. It is not a credit rating and it is not a forecast.

85
Higher pressure HigherRanks 185 of 187 scored markets, lowest first. Indicators covering 85% of the weight are available.
Debt pressure inputs

Each input is converted to a percentile among all covered markets. The percentile column is the pressure that input adds, after inverting the indicators where a lower value means more pressure.

Debt pressure inputs inputs for Venezuela
IndicatorValueDirectionWeightPercentileSource and period
General government gross debt, percent of GDPHigher raw value adds pressure25% 100International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook database, 2025
Consumer price inflationHigher raw value adds pressure20% 100World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2016
Reserves in months of importsLower raw value adds pressure15% 62World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2016
Current account balance, percent of GDPLower raw value adds pressure10% 36World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2025
Rule of law (WGI)Lower raw value adds pressure7.5% 100World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025
Government effectiveness (WGI)Lower raw value adds pressure7.5% 93World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025

Local market depth

05 / DEPTH

Not scored. Too few financial depth indicators are sourced for Venezuela.

Financial depth is a rough proxy. A government can have a deep bond market with little bank credit, and the reverse. Check the market's own turnover, bid and offer spreads and investor base before relying on it.

Currency regime and instruments

06 / STRUCTURE

Own currency. The government issues debt in a currency it controls, so inflation and exchange rate moves feed straight into local bond returns for a foreign holder.

Instruments a government bond market can contain

General market structure. This list describes instrument types that exist in bond markets. It does not say which of them Venezuela issues. Check the debt office or central bank for the instruments in issue. Editorial text last reviewed 2026-10-24.

Routes and diligence

07 / ACCESS
Typical ways to hold the bonds
  • Hard currency sovereign funds. Funds that hold dollar or euro denominated government and quasi-government bonds of emerging and frontier issuers. Currency risk sits with the fund's base currency, credit risk stays with the issuers.
  • Local currency government bond funds. Funds that hold local currency bonds. Returns include the exchange rate move against the fund's base currency, which can dominate the coupon in either direction.
  • Index tracking products. Exchange-traded products that follow a published emerging market bond index. Index rules decide which countries and bond sizes are included, so many frontier markets are absent.
  • Direct purchase through local custodians. Institutional investors can often buy local bonds through a custodian and a local central securities depository. Registration, tax and repatriation steps vary and can take weeks.
  • Regional securities markets. In currency unions the government securities market is regional. Access runs through the regional central bank or its appointed intermediaries.
  • Multilateral and development finance programmes. Some development institutions place local currency bonds or back issuance, giving a route into markets that are otherwise hard to reach.
Questions before any purchase
  • Which currency is the bond in, and who bears the exchange rate risk?
  • Which law governs the bond, and where would a dispute be heard?
  • Is there a withholding or capital gains tax for foreign holders, and is there a treaty rate?
  • How are coupons and principal repatriated, and have there been delays or controls?
  • How is the bond settled and held, and which central securities depository is used?
  • How often does the bond trade, and what is a realistic bid and offer spread?
  • What share of the debt is held by domestic banks, the central bank and foreign investors?
  • What is the maturity profile, and how much falls due in the next two years?
Risks specific to bonds

Educational content only. The bond screens on this page are derived from public macro indicators. They are not credit ratings, yield forecasts, price quotes or recommendations to buy or sell any security. Bond values can fall, and investing in frontier and emerging markets carries significant risk, including total loss.

Method and sources

09 / FORMULA

Two percentile screens built only from indicators that carry a source and an as-of date. A percentile is the share of covered markets with a lower value. Weights are fixed in advance and shown in the tables above. Terciles of each screen set the Lower, Moderate and Higher bands.

Data version 2026-10-09. This page shows no yields, spreads or ratings unless a sourced yield file is loaded. See the methodology and the bond screen method.

Every bond market. One framework.

Compare 199 markets on debt pressure and local market depth, then open the country guide for the full picture.

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