Reading the numbers
01 / OVERVIEW- General government gross debt is 12.7% of GDP (World Bank, 2024), below the median of the 189 markets with data (53.9%) and below the East Africa median (51.5%).
- Domestic credit to the private sector is 5.4% of GDP (World Bank, 2024), a rough guide to how much local debt the financial system can absorb.
Plain language, not a view. Each sentence above is generated from the sourced figure beside it and compares it with the median across markets. It describes where a country stands, not where it is going.
Government debt
02 / DEBTGeneral government gross debt, percent of GDP
annualView data table
| Year | Value |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.7% |
| 2022 | 43.4% |
| 2021 | 47.3% |
Debt as a share of GDP shows the size of the stock against the economy. It does not show who holds it, in which currency it is owed, or when it falls due. Those details sit in the debt office reports of the government and in IMF country documents, and decide most of the risk to a bondholder.
Inflation and currency
03 / CARRYOfficial exchange rate, local currency units per US dollar
annualView data table
| Year | Value |
|---|---|
| 2017 | 23,098 |
| 2016 | 23,062 |
| 2015 | 22,254 |
| 2014 | 20,231 |
| 2013 | 19,284 |
| 2012 | 22,516 |
| 2011 | 29,967 |
| 2010 | 31,270 |
A local currency bond pays a coupon in local money. For a foreign holder the return is that coupon, plus or minus the price change of the bond, plus or minus the change in the exchange rate. Inflation and depreciation tend to move together.
Sovereign debt pressure
04 / SCREENNot scored. Indicators covering at least 60% of the screen's weight are needed and they are not all sourced for Somalia.
Local market depth
05 / DEPTHA weighted percentile screen of four sourced indicators that proxy how deep the domestic financial system is, which in turn limits how much local currency debt a market can absorb. Higher means deeper.
Higher percentiles mean a deeper domestic financial system. Bank non-performing loans are inverted, so fewer bad loans add depth.
| Indicator | Value | Direction | Weight | Percentile | Source and period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domestic credit to the private sector, percent of GDP | Higher raw value adds pressure | 35% | 3 | World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2024 | |
| Adults with a financial account | Higher raw value adds pressure | 20% | 16 | World Bank, Global Findex Database, 2014 | |
| Bank non-performing loans (lower is better) | Lower raw value adds pressure | 15% | 59 | World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2025 |
Financial depth is a rough proxy. A government can have a deep bond market with little bank credit, and the reverse. Check the market's own turnover, bid and offer spreads and investor base before relying on it.
Currency regime and instruments
06 / STRUCTUREOwn currency. The government issues debt in a currency it controls, so inflation and exchange rate moves feed straight into local bond returns for a foreign holder.
- Treasury billsShort-dated discount securities, usually under one year. The base of most local markets and the main tool for central bank liquidity.
- Fixed-rate government bondsMedium and long-dated coupon bonds in local currency. Their price moves with inflation expectations, policy rates and currency.
- Inflation-linked bondsPrincipal or coupons adjust with a consumer price index. Issued by some governments to protect holders and to lower the nominal cost of borrowing.
- Floating-rate notesCoupons reset against a reference rate. Common where investors are wary of locking in long fixed rates.
- EurobondsHard currency government bonds, usually in US dollars or euros, issued under foreign law and cleared internationally. They carry sovereign credit risk but no local currency risk.
- SukukSharia-compliant certificates backed by assets or contracts, issued by governments and companies in several Muslim-majority markets.
- Green, social and sustainability-linked bondsProceeds or coupons are tied to defined environmental or social criteria. Issued by sovereigns, development banks and companies.
- Corporate and bank bondsDebt of listed and unlisted companies and banks. Typically thinner and less liquid than government debt, with more credit risk differences between issuers.
- Multilateral and development bank bondsBonds issued by institutions such as development banks, sometimes in local currency, which can be a lower risk way to hold local rates.
General market structure. This list describes instrument types that exist in bond markets. It does not say which of them Somalia issues. Check the debt office or central bank for the instruments in issue. Editorial text last reviewed 2026-10-24.
Routes and diligence
07 / ACCESS- Hard currency sovereign funds. Funds that hold dollar or euro denominated government and quasi-government bonds of emerging and frontier issuers. Currency risk sits with the fund's base currency, credit risk stays with the issuers.
- Local currency government bond funds. Funds that hold local currency bonds. Returns include the exchange rate move against the fund's base currency, which can dominate the coupon in either direction.
- Index tracking products. Exchange-traded products that follow a published emerging market bond index. Index rules decide which countries and bond sizes are included, so many frontier markets are absent.
- Direct purchase through local custodians. Institutional investors can often buy local bonds through a custodian and a local central securities depository. Registration, tax and repatriation steps vary and can take weeks.
- Regional securities markets. In currency unions the government securities market is regional. Access runs through the regional central bank or its appointed intermediaries.
- Multilateral and development finance programmes. Some development institutions place local currency bonds or back issuance, giving a route into markets that are otherwise hard to reach.
- Which currency is the bond in, and who bears the exchange rate risk?
- Which law governs the bond, and where would a dispute be heard?
- Is there a withholding or capital gains tax for foreign holders, and is there a treaty rate?
- How are coupons and principal repatriated, and have there been delays or controls?
- How is the bond settled and held, and which central securities depository is used?
- How often does the bond trade, and what is a realistic bid and offer spread?
- What share of the debt is held by domestic banks, the central bank and foreign investors?
- What is the maturity profile, and how much falls due in the next two years?
- Sovereign default or restructuring, including changes to the terms of local currency debt
- Inflation and currency depreciation that erode local currency returns for a foreign holder
- Capital controls, convertibility limits and delays in repatriating coupons or principal
- Withholding or capital gains tax on foreign holders, and changes to those rules
- Thin trading, wide bid and offer spreads and limited ability to exit a position
- Domestic bank holdings of government debt, which link the health of banks and the sovereign
- Index inclusion or exclusion decisions that move flows regardless of fundamentals
- Settlement, custody and legal enforceability differences from home markets
Educational content only. The bond screens on this page are derived from public macro indicators. They are not credit ratings, yield forecasts, price quotes or recommendations to buy or sell any security. Bond values can fall, and investing in frontier and emerging markets carries significant risk, including total loss.
Method and sources
09 / FORMULATwo percentile screens built only from indicators that carry a source and an as-of date. A percentile is the share of covered markets with a lower value. Weights are fixed in advance and shown in the tables above. Terciles of each screen set the Lower, Moderate and Higher bands.
- World Bank, World Development Indicators CC BY 4.0
- International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook database IMF statistical data terms (reuse with attribution, integrity preserved)
- World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators CC BY 4.0
- World Bank, Global Findex Database CC BY 4.0
Data version 2026-10-09. This page shows no yields, spreads or ratings unless a sourced yield file is loaded. See the methodology and the bond screen method.