EAST AFRICA · BOND MARKET · ALL COUNTRIES

Somalia bond market

Sourced debt, inflation, currency and financial depth indicators for Somalia. Too few are available to score the market, so only the figures that are sourced are shown.

Government debt, % of GDP
Market depth
19 Shallow

Bond screens

Debt pressure is not scored: too few indicators are sourced.

19
Market depth ShallowRanks 124 of 140, deepest first
Somalia
Bonds

Reading the numbers

01 / OVERVIEW
General government gross debt
pct of GDP, 2024
Real GDP growth
annual, 2025
Credit to the private sector
pct of GDP, 2024
Adults with an account
pct of adults, 2014
Bank non-performing loans
pct of loans, 2025
Rule of law
WGI estimate, 2025
Government effectiveness
WGI estimate, 2025
Government debt, US dollars
derived, 2024

Plain language, not a view. Each sentence above is generated from the sourced figure beside it and compares it with the median across markets. It describes where a country stands, not where it is going.

Government debt

02 / DEBT

General government gross debt, percent of GDP

annual
47.3%0% 20212024
Source: · as of 2026-10-08
View data table
YearValue
202412.7%
202243.4%
202147.3%

Debt as a share of GDP shows the size of the stock against the economy. It does not show who holds it, in which currency it is owed, or when it falls due. Those details sit in the debt office reports of the government and in IMF country documents, and decide most of the risk to a bondholder.

Inflation and currency

03 / CARRY

Official exchange rate, local currency units per US dollar

annual
31,5590 20092017
Source: · as of 2026-10-08
View data table
YearValue
201723,098
201623,062
201522,254
201420,231
201319,284
201222,516
201129,967
201031,270

A local currency bond pays a coupon in local money. For a foreign holder the return is that coupon, plus or minus the price change of the bond, plus or minus the change in the exchange rate. Inflation and depreciation tend to move together.

Sovereign debt pressure

04 / SCREEN

Not scored. Indicators covering at least 60% of the screen's weight are needed and they are not all sourced for Somalia.

Local market depth

05 / DEPTH

A weighted percentile screen of four sourced indicators that proxy how deep the domestic financial system is, which in turn limits how much local currency debt a market can absorb. Higher means deeper.

19
Shallow ShallowRanks 124 of 140 scored markets, deepest first.
Market depth inputs

Higher percentiles mean a deeper domestic financial system. Bank non-performing loans are inverted, so fewer bad loans add depth.

Market depth inputs inputs for Somalia
IndicatorValueDirectionWeightPercentileSource and period
Domestic credit to the private sector, percent of GDPHigher raw value adds pressure35% 3World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2024
Adults with a financial accountHigher raw value adds pressure20% 16World Bank, Global Findex Database, 2014
Bank non-performing loans (lower is better)Lower raw value adds pressure15% 59World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2025

Financial depth is a rough proxy. A government can have a deep bond market with little bank credit, and the reverse. Check the market's own turnover, bid and offer spreads and investor base before relying on it.

Currency regime and instruments

06 / STRUCTURE

Own currency. The government issues debt in a currency it controls, so inflation and exchange rate moves feed straight into local bond returns for a foreign holder.

Instruments a government bond market can contain

General market structure. This list describes instrument types that exist in bond markets. It does not say which of them Somalia issues. Check the debt office or central bank for the instruments in issue. Editorial text last reviewed 2026-10-24.

Routes and diligence

07 / ACCESS
Typical ways to hold the bonds
  • Hard currency sovereign funds. Funds that hold dollar or euro denominated government and quasi-government bonds of emerging and frontier issuers. Currency risk sits with the fund's base currency, credit risk stays with the issuers.
  • Local currency government bond funds. Funds that hold local currency bonds. Returns include the exchange rate move against the fund's base currency, which can dominate the coupon in either direction.
  • Index tracking products. Exchange-traded products that follow a published emerging market bond index. Index rules decide which countries and bond sizes are included, so many frontier markets are absent.
  • Direct purchase through local custodians. Institutional investors can often buy local bonds through a custodian and a local central securities depository. Registration, tax and repatriation steps vary and can take weeks.
  • Regional securities markets. In currency unions the government securities market is regional. Access runs through the regional central bank or its appointed intermediaries.
  • Multilateral and development finance programmes. Some development institutions place local currency bonds or back issuance, giving a route into markets that are otherwise hard to reach.
Questions before any purchase
  • Which currency is the bond in, and who bears the exchange rate risk?
  • Which law governs the bond, and where would a dispute be heard?
  • Is there a withholding or capital gains tax for foreign holders, and is there a treaty rate?
  • How are coupons and principal repatriated, and have there been delays or controls?
  • How is the bond settled and held, and which central securities depository is used?
  • How often does the bond trade, and what is a realistic bid and offer spread?
  • What share of the debt is held by domestic banks, the central bank and foreign investors?
  • What is the maturity profile, and how much falls due in the next two years?
Risks specific to bonds

Educational content only. The bond screens on this page are derived from public macro indicators. They are not credit ratings, yield forecasts, price quotes or recommendations to buy or sell any security. Bond values can fall, and investing in frontier and emerging markets carries significant risk, including total loss.

Method and sources

09 / FORMULA

Two percentile screens built only from indicators that carry a source and an as-of date. A percentile is the share of covered markets with a lower value. Weights are fixed in advance and shown in the tables above. Terciles of each screen set the Lower, Moderate and Higher bands.

Data version 2026-10-09. This page shows no yields, spreads or ratings unless a sourced yield file is loaded. See the methodology and the bond screen method.

Every bond market. One framework.

Compare 199 markets on debt pressure and local market depth, then open the country guide for the full picture.

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